SHI Honghua, SHEN Chengcheng, ZHENG Wei, LI Fen, WANG Xiaoli, CHI Yuan, GUO Zhen, QIAO Mingyang, GAO Liyuan, DING Dewen. A model to assess fundamental and realized carrying capacities of island ecosystem: A case study in the southern Miaodao Archipelago of China[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2016, 35(2): 56-67. doi: 10.1007/s13131-016-0808-y
Citation: SHI Honghua, SHEN Chengcheng, ZHENG Wei, LI Fen, WANG Xiaoli, CHI Yuan, GUO Zhen, QIAO Mingyang, GAO Liyuan, DING Dewen. A model to assess fundamental and realized carrying capacities of island ecosystem: A case study in the southern Miaodao Archipelago of China[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2016, 35(2): 56-67. doi: 10.1007/s13131-016-0808-y

A model to assess fundamental and realized carrying capacities of island ecosystem: A case study in the southern Miaodao Archipelago of China

doi: 10.1007/s13131-016-0808-y
  • Received Date: 2015-07-20
  • Rev Recd Date: 2015-09-21
  • Research on carrying capacity, aiming at maintaining the limited ability of the Earth's life supporting system to sustain human development, requires a comprehensive and ecosystem-based approach to monitor and assess the localized sustainability of coupled social and ecological systems. A definition termed the ecosystem-based carrying capacity of island (EBCCI) was developed in this paper of which the indices of fundamental and realized carrying capacities of island (FCCI and RCCI) were highlighted to emphasize the inter-dependencies between social systems and ecological systems. In order to avoid the difficulties and uncertainties of direct assessment, the related assessment model was established on the basis of synthetic evaluation of inherent and external factors affecting the EBCCI. The southern Miaodao Archipelago (SMA) located in the intersection of the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea, China, was taken as a typical example to acquire integrated recognition of the island ecosystem and its carrying capacity so as to discuss its sustainable development. The index scores of FCCI and RCCI in the SMA were 0.818 5 and 0.712 9 out of 1.0, respectively, with acceptable uncertainties. The results showed a relatively well capacity to sustain progress and relatively well realization of the carrying capacity of island ecosystem, owing to a well capacity of ecologically regulating, general performance of both ecologically supporting and resource provisioning, and a relatively high level of social supporting system. The study implied that it was critical to optimize the inter-dependencies and to sustain the relative balance between social systems and ecological systems so as to improve the RCCI and further facilitate the sustainability of SMA. The approach proposed in this paper provides a powerful tool which is well applicative to the regional level of an oceanic island or archipelago to study the sustainable development and can be further popularized to the coastal zone.
  • loading
  • Arrow K, Bolin B, Costanza R, et al. 1995. Economic growth, carrying capacity, and the environment. Ecological Economics, 15(2): 91-95
    Barrett G W, Odum E P. 2000. The twenty-first century: The world at carrying capacity. BioScience, 50(4): 363-368
    Bonsdorff E, Blomqvist E M, Mattila J, et al. 1997. Coastal eutrophica-tion: Causes, consequences and perspectives in the Ar-chipelago areas of the Northern Baltic Sea. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 44(Suppl 1): 63-72
    Brown M T, Ulgiati S. 1997. Emergy-based indices and ratios to evalu-ate sustainability: Monitoring economies and technology to-ward environmentally sound innovation. Ecological Engineer-ing, 9(1-2): 51-69
    Brown M T, Ulgiati S. 2001. Emergy measures of carrying capacity to evaluate economic investments. Population and Environment, 22(5): 471-501
    Byron C, Link J, Costa-Pierce B, et al. 2011. Calculating ecological car-rying capacity of shellfish aquaculture using mass-balance modeling: Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island. Ecological Model-ling, 222(10): 1743-1755
    Castrejón M, Charles A. 2013. Improving fisheries co-management through ecosystem-based spatial management: The Galapagos Marine Reserve. Marine Policy, 38: 235-245
    Chen Xiaoyan, Gao Huiwang, Yao Xiaohong, et al. 2010a. Ecosystem-based assessment indices of restoration for Daya Bay near a nuclear power plant in South China. Environmental Science & Technology, 44(19): 7589-7595
    Chen Zhenghua, Pan Delu, Bai Yan. 2010b. Study of coastal water zone ecosystem health in Zhejiang Province based on remote sensing data and GIS. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 29(5): 27-34
    Cohen J E. 1995. Population growth and Earth's human carrying ca-pacity. Science, 269(5222): 341-346
    Costanza R, d'Arge R, de Groot R, et al. 1997. The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital. Nature, 387(6630): 253-260
    Daily G C. 1997. Nature's Services: Societal Dependence on Natural Ecosystems. Washington, D C: Island Press Daily G C, Ehrlich P R. 1992. Population, sustainability, and Earth's carrying capacity. BioScience, 42(10): 761-771
    Daily G C, Ehrlich P R. 1996. Socioeconomic equity, sustainability, and Earth's carrying capacity. Ecological Applications, 6(4): 991-1001
    Davis D, Tisdell C. 1995. Recreational scuba-diving and carrying ca-pacity in marine protected areas. Ocean & Coastal Manage-ment, 26(1): 19-40
    Duarte P, Meneses R, Hawkins A J S, et al. 2003. Mathematical model-ling to assess the carrying capacity for multi-species culture within coastal waters. Ecological Modelling, 168(1-2): 109-143
    Gao Jixi. 2001. Theoretical Exploration of Sustainable Development: Ecological Carrying Capacity Theory, Method, and Application (in Chinese). Beijing: China Environment Science Press
    Graymore M L M, Sipe N G, Rickson R E. 2010. Sustaining human car-rying capacity: A tool for regional sustainability assessment. Ecological Economics, 69(3): 459-468
    Halpern B S, Longo C, Hardy D, et al. 2012. An index to assess the health and benefits of the global ocean. Nature, 488(7413): 615-620
    Halpern B S, Walbridge S, Selkoe K A, et al. 2008. A global map of hu-man impact on marine ecosystems. Science, 319(5 865): 948-952
    Holdren J P, Daily G C, Ehrlich P R. 1995. The meaning of sustainabil-ity: Biogeophysical aspects. In: Munasingha M, Shearer W, eds. Defining and Measuring Sustainability: The Biological Founda-tions. Washington, D C: The World Bank, 3-17
    Kenner M C, Estes J A, Tinker M T, et al. 2013. A multi-decade time series of kelp forest community structure at San Nicolas Island, California (USA). Ecology, 94(11): 2654
    Kuss F R, Morgan III J M. 1986. A first alternative for estimating the physical carrying capacities of natural areas for recreation. En-vironmental Management, 10(2): 255-262
    Labuschagne C, Brent A C, van Erck R P G. 2005. Assessing the sus-tainability performances of industries. Journal of Cleaner Pro-duction, 13(4): 373-385
    Lane M, Dawes L, Grace P. 2014. The essential parameters of a re-source-based carrying capacity assessment model: An Australi-an case study. Ecological Modelling, 272: 220-231
    Liu R Z, Borthwick A G L. 2011. Measurement and assessment of car-rying capacity of the environment in Ningbo, China. Journal of Environmental Management, 92(8): 2047-2053
    Lotze H K, Lenihan H S, Bourque B J, et al. 2006. Depletion, degrada-tion, and recovery potential of estuaries and coastal seas. Sci-ence, 312(5781): 1806-1809
    Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA). 2005. Ecosystems and Hu-man Well-Being: Synthesis. Washington, D C: Island Press
    Moldan B, Janoušková S, Hák T. 2012. How to understand and meas-ure environmental sustainability: Indicators and targets. Ecolo-gical Indicators, 17: 4-13
    Mueller-Dombois D. 1981. Island ecosystems: What is unique about their ecology?. In: Mueller-Dombois D, Bridges K W, Carson H L, eds. Island Ecosystems: Biological Organization in Selected Hawaiian Communities. Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA: Hutchinson Ross Publishing Company, 485-501
    Nam J, Chang W, Kang D. 2010. Carrying capacity of an uninhabited island off the southwestern coast of Korea. Ecological Model-ling, 221(17): 2102-2107
    Odum H T. 1996. Environmental Accounting: EMERGY and Environ-mental Decision Making. New York: John Wiley & Sons
    Papageorgiou K, Brotherton I. 1999. A management planning frame-work based on ecological, perceptual and economic carrying capacity: The case study of Vikos-Aoos National Park, Greece. Journal of Environmental Management, 56(4): 271-284
    Potter C S, Randerson J T, Field C B, et al. 1993. Terrestrial ecosystem production: A process model based on global satellite and sur-face data. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 7(4): 811-841
    Prato T. 2009. Fuzzy adaptive management of social and ecological carrying capacities for protected areas. Journal of Environ-mental Management, 90(8): 2551-2557
    Rapport D J, Costanza R, McMichael A J. 1998. Assessing ecosystem health. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 13(10): 397-402
    Rees W E. 1992. Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying ca-pacity: What urban economics leaves out. Environment and Urbanization, 4(2): 121-130
    Rees W E. 1996. Revisiting carrying capacity: Area-based indicators of sustainability. Population and Environment, 17(3): 195-215
    Rombouts I, Beaugrand G, Artigas L F, et al. 2013. Evaluating marine ecosystem health: Case studies of indicators using direct obser-vations and modelling methods. Ecological Indicators, 24: 353-365
    Seidl I, Tisdell C A. 1999. Carrying capacity reconsidered: From Malthus' population theory to cultural carrying capacity. Ecolo-gical Economics, 31(3): 395-408
    Shi Honghua, Ding Dewen, Zheng Wei. 2012. The Key Technology and its Application of Evaluation, Simulation and Control of the Coastal Zone Ecosystem (in Chines). Beijing: China Ocean Press
    Shi Honghua, Zheng Wei, Ding Dewen, et al. 2009a. Valuation and ecosystem services of typical island. Marine Environmental Sci-ence (in Chinese), 28(6): 743-748
    Shi Honghua, Zheng Wei, Wang Zongling, et al. 2009b. Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of regional marine ecosystem services value. J Ocean Univ China (Oceanic and Coastal Sea Research), 8(2): 150-154
    Shi Honghua, Zheng Wei, Zhang Xuelei, et al. 2013. Ecological-eco-nomic assessment of monoculture and integrated multi-troph-ic aquaculture in Sanggou Bay of China. Aquaculture, 410-411: 172-178
    Singh R K, Murty H R, Gupta S K, et al. 2012. An overview of sustain-ability assessment methodologies. Ecological Indicators, 15(1): 281-299
    Sun Jun, Liu Dongyan, Qian Shuben. 2001. Preliminary study on sea-sonal succession and development pathway of phytoplankton community in the Bohai Sea. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 20(2): 251-260
    Sun Jun, Liu Dongyan, Yang Shimin, et al. 2002. The preliminary study on phytoplankton community structure in the central Bo-hai Sea and the Bohai Strait and its adjacent area. Oceanologia et Limnologia Sinica (in Chinese), 33(5): 461-471
    Sustainable Development Strategy Study Group, Chinese Academy of Sciences (SDSSG CAS). 2013. China Sustainable Development Report 2013: The Road to Ecological Civilization, the Next Dec-ade. Beijing: China Science Press
    Vitousek P M, Loope L L, Adsersen H. 1995. Islands: Biological Di-versity and Ecosystem Function. New York: Springer
    Wackernagel M, Yount J D. 2000. Footprints for sustainability: The next steps. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 2(1): 23-44
    Wang Tianxiang, Xu Shiguo. 2015. Dynamic successive assessment method of water environment carrying capacity and its applica-tion. Ecological Indicators, 52: 134-146
    Wang Xiaolong, Zhang Jie. 2007. A nonlinear model for assessing multiple probabilistic risks: A case study in South five-island of Changdao National Nature Reserve in China. Journal of Envir-onmental Management, 85(4): 1101-1108
    Wang Yue, Wu Dexing, Lin Xiaopei. 2012. The preliminary study of the high chlorophyll in the central Bohai Sea in summer. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 31(1): 66-72
    Wardle D A, Jonsson M, Bansal S, et al. 2012. Linking vegetation change, carbon sequestration and biodiversity: Insights from island ecosystems in a long-term natural experiment. Journal of Ecology, 100(1): 16-30
    Wei Chao, Guo Zhongyang, Wu Jianping, et al. 2014. Constructing an assessment indices system to analyze integrated regional carry-ing capacity in the coastal zones-A case in Nantong. Ocean & Coastal Management, 93: 51-59
    Wei Yigang, Huang Cui, Lam P T I, et al. 2015. Sustainable urban de-velopment: A review on urban carrying capacity assessment. Habitat International, 46: 64-71
    Wu Shanshan, Liu Rongzi, Qi Lianming, et al. 2008. Value assess-ment of marine ecosystem service in Bohai Sea. China Popula-tion, Resources and Environment (in Chinese), 18(2): 65-69
    Xia Bin, Zhang Longjun. 2011. Carbon distribution and fluxes of 16 rivers discharging into the Bohai Sea in summer. Acta Oceano-logica Sinica, 30(3): 43-54
    Xie Gaodi, Chen Wenhui, Cao Shuyan, et al. 2014. The outward ex-tension of an ecological footprint in city expansion: The case of Beijing. Sustainability, 6(12): 9371-9386
    Yount J D. 1998. Human carrying capacity as an indicator of regional sustainability. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 51(1): 507-509
    Zheng Wei, Shen Chengcheng, Qiao Mingyang, et al. 2014. Contin-gent valuation of preserving ecosystem of Changdao Island Nature Reserve. Acta Ecologica Sinica (in Chinese), 34(1): 82-87
    Zheng Wei, Shi Honghua, Chen Shang, et al. 2009. Benefit and cost analysis of mariculture based on ecosystem services. Ecologic-al Economics, 68(6): 1626-1632
    Zhang Yingxuan, Chen Min, Zhou Wenhua, et al. 2010. Evaluating Beijing's human carrying capacity from the perspective of wa-ter resource constraints. Journal of Environmental Sciences, 22(8): 1297-1304
    Zhang Z, Lu W X, Zhao Y, et al. 2014. Development tendency analysis and evaluation of the water ecological carrying capacity in the Siping area of Jilin Province in China based on system dynam-ics and analytic hierarchy process. Ecological Modelling, 275: 9-21
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Article Metrics

    Article views (1251) PDF downloads(1067) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return