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Estimation of catch losses resulting from overexploitation in the global marine fisheries
DING Qi, CHEN Xinjun, CHEN Yong, TIAN Siquan
2017, 36(12): 37-44. doi: 10.1007/s13131-017-1096-x
Keywords: overfishing, catch loss, sustainability, exploitation status
Many fish stocks in the world are depleted as a result of overexploitation, which reduces stock productivity and results in loss of potential yields. In this study we analyzed the catch trends and approximate thresholds of sustainable fishing for fished stocks to estimate the potential loss of catch and revenue of global fisheries as a result of overexploitation during the period of 1950-2010 in 14 FAO fishing areas. About 35% of stocks in the global marine ocean have or had suffered from overexploitation at present. The global catch losses amounted to 332.8 million tonnes over 1950-2010, resulting in a direct economic loss of US$298.9 billion (constant 2005 US$). Unsustainable fishing caused substantial potential losses worldwide, especially in the northern hemisphere. Estimated potential losses due to overfishing for different groups of resources showed that the low-value but abundant small-medium pelagics made the largest contribution to the global catch loss, with a weight of 265.0 million tonnes. The geographic expansion of overfishing not only showed serial depletion of world's fishery resources, but also reflected how recent trends towards sustainability can stabilize or reverse catch losses. Reduction of global fishing capacity and changes in fishery management systems are necessary if the long-term sustainability of marine fisheries in the world is to be achieved.
Application of a catch-based method for stock assessment of three important fisheries in the East China Sea
ZHANG Kui, ZHANG Jun, XU Youwei, SUN Mingshuai, CHEN Zuozhi, YUAN Meng
2018, 37(2): 102-109. doi: 10.1007/s13131-018-1173-9
Keywords: Catch-MSY model, fisheries in the East China Sea, intrinsic rate of increase, maximum sustainable yield, overfishing
Most fisheries in China do not have maximum sustainable yield (MSY) estimates due to limited and poor data. Therefore, finding a common method to estimate MSY or total allowable catch (TAC) for fishery management is necessary. MSYs of three important fisheries in the East China Sea were evaluated through a catch-based model. Estimates for intrinsic rate of increase (r) and five levels of process error were considered. Results showed hairtail Trichiurus japonicas (Temminck and Schlegel) and small yellow croaker Larimichthys polyactis (Bleeker) fisheries experienced overfishing from the mid-1990s to the early 2000s, and the suggested TACs were 55.8×104 t and 9.06×104 t, respectively. Decades of overfishing in wintering and spawning grounds of large yellow croaker Larimichthys crocea (Richardson) caused the fishery's collapse in the 1980s, and it has not recovered until today. The Catch-MSY model generated similar estimated MSYs with other methods and may be a useful choice for the assessment of regional stocks in China.
Response of Japanese anchovy (Engraulis japonicus) to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Yellow Sea over the past 400 a
Haoyu Li, Qisheng Tang, Yao Sun
2022, 41(8): 31-40. doi: 10.1007/s13131-021-1914-z  Published:2022-08-15
Keywords: Japanese anchovy, scale deposition rate, population fluctuation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Yellow Sea
Quantitative identification of long-term changes in the abundance of Japanese anchovy (Engraulis japonicus) in the Yellow Sea is particularly important for understanding evolutionary processes of the Yellow Sea ecosystem. Unfortunately, the driving mechanisms of climate variability on the anchovy are still unclear due to the lack of long-term observational data. In this study, we used the fish scale deposition rate in the central Yellow Sea to reconstruct the time series of the anchovy stock over the past 400 a. On this basis, we further explored the impacts of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on the anchovy. Our results show that the anchovy stock is positively correlated with the PDO on a decadal time scale. In addition, anchovy abundance was relatively high during 1620–1860 AD (the Little Ice Age, LIA), though in a state of constant fluctuation; anchovy abundance maintained at a relatively low level after ~1860 AD. In particular, followed by overfishing since the 1980s, the anchovy stock has declined sharply. Based on these findings, we infer that fluctuations of the anchovy stock may be regulated by basin-scale “atmosphere–ocean” interactions. Nevertheless, the role of overfishing should not be ignored.
Stock assessment for Atlantic yellowfin tuna based on extended surplus production model considering life history
Zhipan Tian, Fei Wang, Siquan Tian, Qiuyun Ma
2022, 41(8): 41-51. doi: 10.1007/s13131-021-1924-x  Published:2022-08-15
Keywords: population dynamics, selectivity, tropical tuna, fishery management
The modern fishery stock assessment could be conducted by various models, such as Stock Synthesis model with high data requirement and complicated model structure, and the basic surplus production model, which fails to incorporate individual growth, maturity, and fishery selectivity, etc. In this study, the Just Another Bayesian Biomass Assessment (JABBA) Select which is relatively balanced between complex and simple models, was used to conduct stock assessment for yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) in the Atlantic Ocean. Its population dynamics was evaluated, considering the influence of selectivity patterns and different catch per unit effort (CPUE) indices on the stock assessment results. The model with three joint longline standardized CPUE indices and logistic selectivity pattern performed well, without significant retrospective pattern. The results indicated that the stock is not overfished and not subject to overfishing in 2018. Sensitivity analyses indicated that stock assessment results are robust to natural mortality but sensitive to steepness of the stock-recruitment relationship and fishing selectivity. High steepness was revealed to be more appropriate for this stock, while the fishing selectivity has greater influence to the assessment results than life history parameters. Overall, JABBA-Select is suitable for the stock assessment of Atlantic yellowfin tuna with different selectivity patterns, and the assumptions of natural mortality and selectivity pattern should be improved to reduce uncertainties.
Molecular phylogenetics and population demographic history of Amphioctopus fangsiao, inferred from mitochondrial and microsatellite DNA markers
Jian Zheng, Yan Tang, Ran Xu, Xiaoying Zhang, Xiaodong Zheng
2023, 42(6): 39-48. doi: 10.1007/s13131-022-2105-2  Published:2023-06-25
Keywords: genetic diversity, population genetic structure, Amphioctopus fangsiao, mitochondrial DNA, microsatellite DNA
Amphioctopus fangsiao (Cephalopoda: Octopodidae) is an important commercial species in the coastal waters of China. In recent years, however, the resource of A. fangsiao have declined because of habitat destruction and overfishing. To analyze the genetic variations of A. fangsiao caused by the fluctuation of resources, the population genetic structure of nine sampling locations collected from the Bohai Sea to the South China Sea were investigated, using mtDNA COI fragments and microsatellite DNA. The results of F-statistics, AMOVA, STRUCTURE and PCA analyses showed three phylogeographic clades (Clades A, B and C), revealing limited genetic exchange between north and south populations. These clades diverged in 2.23 (Clades A and B) and 3.67 (Clades A, B and C) million years ago, during the dramatic environmental fluctuations, such as sea level and temperature changes, have exerted great influence on the survival distribution pattern of global organisms. Our results for low genetic connectivity among A. fangsiao populations provide insights into the development of management strategies, that is, to manage this species as separate management unit.
Study on fish life history traits and variation in the Taiwan Strait and its adjacent waters
HU Wenjia, YE Guanqiong, LU Zhenbin, DU Jianguo, CHEN Mingru, CHOU Loke Ming, YANG Shengyun
2015, 34(2): 45-54. doi: 10.1007/s13131-015-0625-8
Keywords: history traits, fish life history strategy, fishery exploitation, the Taiwan Strait
Large portions of the world's fishery resources are overexploited. Life history traits of fish species are important indicators to reveal different life history strategies and to indicate population responses to fishing pressures. For this study, empirical data on fishing grounds located in the coastal area between Fujian Coast and Taiwan Island were collected. These areas have experienced severe overfishing in the past 30 years, leading to changes in the structure and function of the fish communities. Fifty-one commercial fish species in this fishing ground were selected to study the life history traits. Using the life history traits, all the species were grouped into five different life history strategies by principle component analysis. More than 60% of the species were categorized in Group 5 that was similar to r-strategists. Twenty-five commercial species were selected for further analysis of changes in life history variables, and to discuss the population responses to exploitation. Results showed that most of the species appeared to become smaller size, shorter life, earlier maturation and faster growing under long-term exploitation. The exploitation rate of each species was also calculated to further discuss the impacts of fishing pressures to fish populations. Four species were found with the severest changes on life history traits indicating some of the species might be more susceptible to exploitation. This study on fish life history traits and their long-term variations under fishing pressures could provide important scientific implications for fishery management and conservation.
Evaluation of the “fishing down marine food web” process in the north-west of Persian Gulf (Khuzestan Province) during the period of 2002-2011
MASHJOOR Sakineh, KAMRANI Ehsan
2015, 34(10): 103-110. doi: 10.1007/s13131-015-0726-4
Keywords: mean trophic level, fishing-in-balance index, fishing down marine food webs, Khuzestan, Persian Gulf
The worldwide increase in commercial fisheries and its impact on ecosystems as well as inefficient fishery management have led to overfishing and frequent breakdown of traditional fish stocks. In this context, an analysis of Khuzestan inshore fisheries data covering the years 2002-2011, was conducted in reliance on testing for occurrence of the fishing down marine food webs (FDMFW) phenomenon in the North of Persian Gulf Large Marine Ecosystem (LME). In this study, the mean trophic level (mTL) and the fishing-in-balance (FIB)-index of Khuzestan landings during this period of time were estimated using the trophic level of 47 fishery resources. Increase in total landings (Y) was observed, which explained the high fishing yield in major fishery resources (especially demersal). Moreover, the moderates decreasing trend in mTL per decade, and the increasing trend in FIB-index were observed. The status of fishery resources in Khuzestan inshore waters (under exploited but not overexploited), the rise in Y, FIB and slightly drop in mTL can be considered as indirect indicators of the fishing impacts on the trophic structure of marine communities. Based on this result, probability occurrence of FDMFW process in Khuzestan inshore waters is low to some extent. However, we suggest that the goal of management programs in Khuzestan inshore waters should prevent the continuance of this trend in the long-term using an ecosystem-based approach.
A stock assessment for Illex argentinus in Southwest Atlantic using an environmentally dependent surplus production model
WANG Jintao, CHEN Xinjun, Kevin W. Staples, CHEN Yong
2018, 37(2): 94-101. doi: 10.1007/s13131-017-1131-y
Keywords: Illex argentinus, stock assessment, Schaefer surplus production model, environmental factors, Southwest Atlantic
The southern Patagonian stock (SPS) of Argentinian shortfin squid, Illex argentinus, is an economically important squid fishery in the Southwest Atlantic. Environmental conditions in the region play an important role in regulating the population dynamics of the I. argentinus population. This study develops an environmentally dependent surplus production (EDSP) model to evaluate the stock abundance of I. argentines during the period of 2000 to 2010. The environmental factors (favorable spawning habitat areas with sea surface temperature of 16-18℃) were assumed to be closely associated with carrying capacity (K) in the EDSP model. Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) values suggest that the estimated EDSP model with environmental factors fits the data better than a Schaefer surplus model without environmental factors under uniform and normal scenarios. The EDSP model estimated a maximum sustainable yield (MSY) from 351 600 t to 685 100 t and a biomass from 1 322 400 t to 1 803 000 t. The fishing mortality coefficient of I. argentinus from 2000 to 2010 was smaller than the values of F0.1 and FMSY. Furthermore, the time series biomass plot of I. argentinus from 2000 to 2010 shows that the biomass of I. argentinus and this fishery were in a good state and not presently experiencing overfishing. This study suggests that the environmental conditions of the habitat should be considered within squid stock assessment and management.
The impact of natural mortality variations on the performance of management procedures for Spanish mackerel (Scomberomorus niphonius) in the Yellow Sea, China
CHEN Ning, ZHANG Chongliang, SUN Ming, XU Binduo, XUE Ying, REN Yiping, CHEN Yong
2018, 37(8): 21-30. doi: 10.1007/s13131-018-1234-0
Keywords: fishery management, uncertainty, management strategy evaluation (MSE), data limited method, DLMtool
Natural mortality rate (M) is one of the essential parameters in fishery stock assessment, however, the estimation of M is commonly rough and the changes of M due to natural and anthropogenic impacts have long been ignored. The simplification of M estimation and the influence of M variations on the assessment and management of fisheries stocks have been less well understood. This study evaluated the impacts of the changes in natural mortality of Spanish mackerel (Scomberomorus niphonius) on their management strategies with data-limited methods. We tested the performances of a variety of management procedures (MPs) with the variations of M in mackerel stock using diverse estimation methods. The results of management strategies evaluation showed that four management procedures DCAC, SPMSY, curE75 and minlenLopt1 were more robust to the changes of M than others; however, their performance were substantially influenced by the significant decrease of M from the 1970s to 2017. Relative population biomass (measure as the probability of B>0.5BMSY) increased significantly with the decrease of M, whereas the possibility of overfishing showed remarkable variations across MPs. The decrease of M had minor effects on the long-term yield of curE75 and minlenLopt1, and reduced the fluctuation of yield (measure as the probability of AAVY<15%) for DCAC, SPMSY. In general, the different methods for M estimation showed minor effects on the performance of MPs, whereas the temporal changes of M showed substantial influences. Considering the fishery status of Spanish mackerel in China, we recommended that curE75 has the best trade-off between fishery resources exploitation and conservation, and we also proposed the potentials and issues in their implementations.
Population dynamics modelling with spatial heterogeneity for yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) along the coast of China
Qiuyun Ma, Yan Jiao, Yiping Ren, Ying Xue
2020, 39(10): 107-119. doi: 10.1007/s13131-020-1602-4  Published:2020-10-25
Keywords: yellow croaker, population dynamics, Bayesian hierarchical model, geographic variation
As one of the top four commercially important species in China, yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) with two geographic subpopulations, has undergone profound changes during the last several decades. It is widely comprehended that understanding its population dynamics is critically important for sustainable management of this valuable fishery in China. The only two existing population dynamics models assessed the population of yellow croaker using short time-series data, without considering geographical variations. In this study, Bayesian models with and without hierarchical subpopulation structure were developed to explore the spatial heterogeneity of the population dynamics of yellow croaker from 1968 to 2015. Alternative hypotheses were constructed to test potential temporal patterns in yellow croaker’s population dynamics. Substantial variations in population dynamics characteristics among space and time were found through this study. The population growth rate was revealed to increase since the late 1980s, and the catchability increased more than twice from 1981 to 2015. The East China Sea’s subpopulation witnesses faster growth, but suffers from higher fishing pressure than that in the Bohai Sea and Yellow Sea. The global population and two subpopulations all have high risks of overfishing and being overfished according to the MSY-based reference points in recent years. More conservative management strategies with subpopulation considerations are imperative for the fishery management of yellow croaker in China. The methodology developed in this study could also be applied to the stock assessment and fishery management of other species, especially for those species with large spatial heterogeneity data.
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